Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Socialism doesn't make my butthole pucker

Since the economic bailout, there’s been a lot of talk about socialism. At least one of my more liberal friends predicts the bailout equals the death of socialism’s staunchest rival: capitalism. The hinging factor in this argument is not merely that the government has bankrolled the private financial market – it is that our government is literally buying stock in the country’s largest banks. By definition, this move does amount to a socialist strategy. It certainly falls under the umbrella of “a broad set of economic theories … advocating social or collective ownership and administration of the means of production and distribution of goods.”

The Republican ticket’s VP candidate, however, doesn’t agree with this analysis. According to this CNN article, Palin answered she did not agree the bailout was a socialist move. It was simply a “shoring of banks,” she said, that was necessary for “not only the housing market but the credit markets also, to make sure that that’s not frozen.”

Palin, however, not surprisingly turned a 360 during the same Colorado Springs press conference. While defending the bailout as a purely capitalist move, she called Barack Obama’s tax plan an “experiment with socialism.”

This has yet to be proven. His plan calls for a tax increase for anyone making more than $250,000 a year and a tax credit for middle- and low-income workers. Essentially he’s helping those who need it and taxing those who don’t – and admitting that he himself is one of the few who can afford to pay more.

Maybe it is socialism, and maybe it isn’t. If his plan called for all of the extra taxes garnered from the rich to be directly distributed in the form of those lower-income credits, than yes, it’s socialism. If the two items of business remain separate from one another … well, it could still be socialism.

Here’s my question – who fucking cares? The wealthy and powerful have been demonizing socialism since the early 1900’s. It’s no surprise – the main thrust of Karl Marx’s theory is that capitalism is meant to keep the wealthy wealthy and the poor poor. A socialist agenda would see these rich legislators and their richer special interests losing out. Oh, the humanity.

That’s not how Palin and McCain argue their case, however. Instead of using the phrase “the rich,” they talk about how much this plan will hurt “small businesses.” Their argument assumes that we either make more than $250,000 a year or that we are simply ignorant. They’re counting on the uneducated, the uninformed and the traditional voters (and by “traditional” I mean “old”) to vote wildly against Obama simply because they’ve labeled him with this 20th-century epithet. It harkens back to a time when the American people were led to believe democracy was in danger.

I’m sorry, but the fact Obama wants to “spread the wealth around,” as McCain has been so eager to point out, doesn’t instantly anger me. For one thing, Obama’s plan would see the wealth going into my pocket and not coming out of it. It would take my wife and I 10 years or more to make $250,000. For another thing, I agree with Obama – the rich can and should pay more. It’s absurd to believe that we can pull ourselves out of this recession (yes, I said it … recession) without taking a tax hit. McCain decries increased taxes as an insensitive and unneeded hardship upon Americans. Well, suck it up. If we want things in our society – like universal health care or, say, a balanced budget – we have to be willing to pay for them. And if you’re living comfortably, quit complaining about it. My wife and I cling to each and every check we make. If you don’t have to worry about whether you can feed your daughter for the next week, you’ve got no room to whine.

Thursday, October 16, 2008

Prediction Not Good For McCain


Game. Set. Match.


John McCain is in a pickle. A big one. He has lost all three debates, according to both CBS and CNN news post-debate flash polls. Both of these polls were taken just after the debates and featured undecided voters who had not yet made up their minds about who to vote for in less than three weeks.


That’s not the bad part for John McCain.


The bad part is all the polls indicate that John McCain needs some major catching up to have even a remote chance of pulling an upset victory. It’s possible, but highly unlikely.


All the polls don’t really matter when it comes to the horse race. After all, Al Gore was ahead in the horserace in 2000, 17 days out, but lost. (He did win the popular vote.) Polls are a good indicator of where the country is headed, but not all together accurate. The best way to predict a winner right now is to look at the electoral map and the state-by-state data. Well, we’ve done that and it’s not good for John McCain.


Keeping the so-called toss up states in mind, Kill The Cat can now project Barack Obama the winner of the 2008 presidential election, if it were held today. Here’s how:

We have moved both Virginia and Florida from Toss-Up to Obama. The Real-Clear Politics average shows both of those states leaning toward Obama and all polls are outside the margin of error. The other toss-up states remain in yellow. If John McCain were to pull a rabbit out of his ass and win them all, he would still be short the 270 needed and Obama would emerge victorious.

There are two states in the toss-up category that we have given McCain because we feel, ultimately, McCain has them put away. Those states are Indiana and West Virginia. We almost moved North Carolina out of toss up into Obama, but the polls are still within the margin of error there. Now keep in mind, it is still 19 days away to the big day and none of this is set in stone.

But here is the quandary.

The entire war is now being fought in battleground states that Bush won in both 2000 and 2004. Now that McCain has pulled all of his resources out of Wisconsin and Michigan, the only blue state McCain hopes to blush is Pennsylvania, and that’s not reality, Greg. So, McCain is now playing defense in all the battleground states. That puts him in a VERY bad position and the probability he will keep all of them in his corner is dubious.

The plus side to all of this is that voters don’t really seem to be connecting to Obama on a personal level. Fortunately – or un – for Obama, is the voters aren’t connecting to McCain either so they are going to Obama by default; they are scared of more Republicanism. McCain needs a personal message and, like, yesterday.


PREDITCTION:

Obama wins. He will win in the popular vote and the electoral college. The only way all this can change is an outside influence. (I.E. a major international incident or the stocks rebound to well over 10,000.) I could be wrong about all this, but I’m not.


Senator McCain, if you have ever believed in the power of prayer, now would be the time you drop to your knees.

Friday, October 10, 2008

Friday, October 3, 2008

FRIDAY FUNNYBONE; 3 October, 2008

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